Ranked on projected points, which is why the order differs from the odds table further down. Average pick held is the mean draft position of everyone currently rostered — lower means more capital still in the building.
01
trevorh84
Projected143.7
Playoff odds82.9%
Avg pick held76.3
Moves made2
Holds the least draft capital in the league — an average pick of 76.3, dead last — and projects first anyway. That's a well-sorted roster rather than an expensive one, which is the good kind of first place. The one soft spot is real though: six running backs, one tight end, and a single quarterback with nobody behind him. Drake Maye is doing a lot of load-bearing this season.
02
Unauthorized Use of No. 5
Projected143.1
Playoff odds80.8%
Avg pick held75.5
Moves made0
Drafted St. Brown and Achane, went home, and hasn't opened the app since. Zero transactions and 0.6 points off the top — sometimes the roster you drafted is just good. The bench is two rookie wideouts and a backup quarterback who won't matter until December, which is exactly what a bench is for. Quietly the most sensible team here.
03
winniehartley
Projected139.9
Playoff odds70.8%
Avg pick held75.2
Moves made0
Won the 1.01, took Gibbs, and built a Hurts–Eagles stack that doubles down every week in both directions. Five running backs is two more than a lineup can use, so there's a trade sitting right there: Walker, Irving and Mason are all competing for one flex spot, and somebody else in this league is thin at the position. Worth a message before the surplus loses value.
04
NoseyNabers
Projected139.8
Playoff odds69.5%
Avg pick held75.4
Moves made0
Nacua, Collins and Hampton is a genuine top four, and this is a bye-week team the moment the lineup gets a second look. The draft went well and the attention since has not: George Kittle came out of it as a backup to Colston Loveland, and TreVeyon Henderson is still rostered as a starter despite being ruled Out. Best roster-to-attention ratio in the league.
05
H00dedWizard
Projected138.1
Playoff odds65.0%
Avg pick held75.7
Moves made0
Six wideouts, and the three best aren't all starting. Mahomes, Higgins and Evans on one bench is the most expensive collection of spare parts anyone has assembled — which is really a depth problem in disguise: stacked at exactly one position, thin everywhere else. Trading a receiver for a running back is the obvious move and it's still available.
06
She’sTheMann
Projected137.3
Playoff odds61.0%
Avg pick held71.9
Moves made1
Second-most draft capital retained, and the only manager who took a kicker and a defense before round ten — a tidy, deliberate draft that the projection slightly undersells. Bijan at 1.03 and Jeanty at 2.08 is the best backfield in the league; the drop after them is steep, down to a fifteenth-round Stefon Diggs in the flex. Top-heavy wins weeks. The question is whether it wins Decembers.
07
Team Fawley
Projected137.2
Playoff odds63.2%
Avg pick held75.0
Moves made2
Trading Kelce didn't just cost a starter, it emptied the position — Fawley now rosters exactly one tight end, Sam LaPorta, and he's Questionable. Every other team carries two. Chase, Hall and LaPorta all being Questionable at once is genuinely rotten luck rather than bad management, but the tight end situation needs a waiver claim this week.
08
Smallwood Retrievers
Projected135.7
Playoff odds54.4%
Avg pick held75.8
Moves made0
Fifteen drafted, fifteen kept, lineup optimal, zero moves. Brock Bowers at pick 31 was the steal of the draft and it's anchoring a perfectly reasonable team that nobody is actively improving. Standing still works right up until it doesn't — but of all the ways to be eighth in projection, having the best tight end and no mistakes is the most recoverable.
09
jfinau
Projected132.3
Playoff odds39.6%
Avg pick held62.5
Moves made5
Carries the most draft capital in the league by a distance — average pick 62.5, thirteen spots clear of second — and has spent the preseason rearranging it at speed. Four starters are undrafted free agents. The Kelce trade was the best single move anyone made all preseason, and it's surrounded by moves that partly undid it. There's a good team in here; it just needs to sit still for a week.
10
OldeRowanRiot
Projected122.8
Playoff odds12.7%
Avg pick held76.0
Moves made1
Thirteen projected points behind ninth, which is a bigger gap than anywhere else in the table. Josh Allen at 1.07 was a genuinely bold pick and he's the reason this team has a puncher's chance most weeks. The model says 48.2% to finish last — but it's Week 1, it's a projection, and one good waiver run changes the shape of this entirely. Somebody has to be tenth in September.