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The Slate

Everything the main sheet stopped doing once it went retrospective: who's favored this week, who should actually be starting, which waiver claim is worth making, and which trades would make two rosters better instead of one. It's a projection. It will be wrong about something. That's what projections are for — come back Tuesday and see by how much.

This Week's Slate

Week 1 · by optimal projection

Both sides' best-legal-lineup total, not what either manager will actually start — see Start/Sit for that gap.

M1

Smallwood Retrievers vs jfinau

Smallwood Retrievers
124.9 proj
VS
jfinau
128.6 proj
M2

Unauthorized Use of No. 5 vs NoseyNabers

Unauthorized Use of No. 5
142.1 proj
VS
NoseyNabers
140.3 proj
M3

H00dedWizard vs trevorh84

H00dedWizard
137.6 proj
VS
trevorh84
141.4 proj
M4

winniehartley vs Team Fawley

winniehartley
138.1 proj
VS
Team Fawley
138.3 proj
M5

OldeRowanRiot vs She’sTheMann

OldeRowanRiot
121.5 proj
VS
She’sTheMann
134.6 proj

Start / Sit

Optimal lineup vs. what's actually starting

Same optimal-lineup math as the playoff model, checked against each roster's actual starters. Bench gap is points left on the table if nothing changes before kickoff.

H00dedWizard

7.5 pts on the bench

Start Travis Etienne for Chris Godwin

Start Tee Higgins for Mike Evans

Injured starters: none

NoseyNabers

0.4 pts on the bench

Start Matthew Stafford for Dak Prescott

Injured starters: none

OldeRowanRiot

5.9 pts on the bench

Start Jonathon Brooks for Brian Robinson

Start Jake Ferguson for Dalton Kincaid

Injured starters: none

She’sTheMann

2.2 pts on the bench

Start Kenny Gainwell for Stefon Diggs

Injured starters: none

Smallwood Retrievers

0.1 pts on the bench

Start Brock Purdy for Caleb Williams

Injured starters: A.J. Brown (IR)

Team Fawley

1.5 pts on the bench

Start Chuba Hubbard for Alec Pierce

Injured starters: Ladd McConkey (Q), Alec Pierce (Q)

Unauthorized Use of No. 5

0.0 pts on the bench

Lineup's already optimal.

Injured starters: Zay Flowers (Out)

jfinau

0.0 pts on the bench

Lineup's already optimal.

Injured starters: none

trevorh84

1.6 pts on the bench

Start Jaylen Warren for Jeremiyah Love

Injured starters: none

winniehartley

3.7 pts on the bench

Start Mark Andrews for Kyle Pitts

Start Parker Washington for Matthew Golden

Injured starters: none

Free Agent Moves

308 free agents checked · best add per team

Every unrostered player with a real projection, tried against every rostered player on each team, through the same optimal-lineup math as everything else on this page. One suggestion per team: whichever drop-for-add raises that team's best-lineup total the most.

Suggested free agent moves, best gain first
TeamDropAddGain
Smallwood RetrieversCaleb WilliamsPHI+2.0
jfinauBo NixBaker Mayfield+1.9
Unauthorized Use of No. 5Jayden DanielsPHI+1.7
She’sTheMannMichael WilsonPHI+1.7
H00dedWizardMike EvansPHI+1.6
trevorh84Blake CorumPHI+1.5
NoseyNabersRome OdunzePHI+1.3
Team FawleyMarShawn LloydMatt Gay+1.1
winniehartleyBhayshul TutenMatt Gay+0.8
OldeRowanRiotDalton KincaidMatt Gay+0.7

Win-Win Trades

45 pairings checked · best 1-for-1 each

Every pair of rosters, run through the same optimal-lineup math: does swapping these two players raise both sides' best-lineup total? Ranked by whichever team benefits less — the point is mutual upside, not a heist.

Win-win trade candidates, best mutual gain first
Team AA getsA gainTeam BB getsB gain
jfinauD'Andre Swift+1.6She’sTheMannGarrett Wilson+1.4
Smallwood RetrieversRashee Rice+2.0jfinauQuinshon Judkins+1.1
H00dedWizardTrevor Lawrence+1.1Team FawleyMike Evans+2.0
winniehartleyGarrett Wilson+1.1jfinauKenneth Walker+1.9
jfinauChuba Hubbard+1.1Team FawleyRashee Rice+2.0
Smallwood RetrieversMike Evans+1.8H00dedWizardBrock Purdy+1.0
NoseyNabersGarrett Wilson+2.3jfinauRico Dowdle+0.8
H00dedWizardJaxon Smith-Njigba+0.7jfinauJonathan Taylor+2.3
H00dedWizardTyler Shough+0.6winniehartleyMike Evans+0.6
H00dedWizardJaxson Dart+1.3She’sTheMannEmeka Egbuka+0.6
NoseyNabersTrevor Lawrence+0.4Team FawleyRome Odunze+0.4
NoseyNabersEmeka Egbuka+0.3H00dedWizardDak Prescott+0.3
Smallwood RetrieversGeorge Kittle+0.6NoseyNabersBrock Purdy+0.2
Unauthorized Use of No. 5Garrett Wilson+0.2jfinauKyren Williams+2.8
Unauthorized Use of No. 5Travis Etienne+0.5H00dedWizardTyler Warren+0.1
OldeRowanRiotAJ Barner+0.3jfinauSam Darnold+0.1
jfinauJaylen Warren+1.7trevorh84Garrett Wilson+0.1